Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.406161 0.522810 0.649215 0.794584 0.955520 1.126816 1.321570
2025-08-03 0.259996 0.418130 0.607083 0.840838 1.115022 1.420506 1.781215
2025-08-10 0.173002 0.341731 0.560626 0.846324 1.194549 1.593602 2.075247
2025-08-17 0.094844 0.252671 0.480668 0.797019 1.198424 1.671367 2.254136
2025-08-24 0.043328 0.179790 0.405754 0.740627 1.182643 1.716980 2.387615
2025-08-31 0.018612 0.137397 0.364470 0.721079 1.207026 1.806140 2.568374
2025-09-07 0.007359 0.113231 0.345864 0.728959 1.263816 1.932788 2.792194
2025-09-14 0.001094 0.088144 0.319562 0.721781 1.298012 2.029455 2.978311
2025-09-21 NaN 0.064172 0.288352 0.703039 1.313775 2.100924 3.132133
2025-09-28 NaN 0.060086 0.296406 0.744789 1.412219 2.277372 3.414898
2025-10-05 NaN 0.059019 0.310656 0.796318 1.524295 2.471429 3.719657
2025-10-12 NaN 0.055054 0.317201 0.834925 1.618109 2.641989 3.995438
2025-10-19 NaN 0.057350 0.340832 0.905013 1.761046 2.881916 4.365025
2025-10-26 NaN 0.053847 0.349613 0.950974 1.870951 3.080679 4.685595
2025-11-02 NaN 0.042959 0.336027 0.957799 1.924075 3.204885 4.912493
2025-11-09 NaN 0.024183 0.290109 0.904861 1.888746 3.211963 4.991703
2025-11-16 NaN 0.010271 0.243605 0.844565 1.838779 3.197039 5.041001
2025-11-23 NaN 0.004571 0.220197 0.823587 1.844928 3.254907 5.180766
2025-11-30 NaN 0.002411 0.212450 0.832043 1.895098 3.371548 5.395222
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000589 0.197514 0.824344 1.919646 3.453085 5.564462
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.177796 0.804233 1.923683 3.505980 5.696386
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.187947 0.849011 2.029903 3.698788 6.008859
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000001 0.202772 0.904168 2.152643 3.914388 6.350944